Monday, October 20, 2008

Week 4

According to a gallup's polls 52% of registered voters are planning to vote Obama and 42% are planning to vote McCain with a margin of error of 3%. 6% are undecided and 1% plans to vote for another candidate.
CNN's polls show Obama with 49% and McCain with 43% of voters. 8% is still unsure, and there is a 3% margin of error. CNN polls also show that the economy is definitely the most important issue in this election.

"The Mason-Dixon Virginia poll, conducted earlier this week, found Warner preferred by 57 percent of state voters, compared to 31 percent for Republican Jim Gilmore. Eleven percent of those polled said they remain undecided." -HispanicBuisness.com
RealClearPolitics.com also shows Warner with a 28% runaway lead. Good for you, Mark Warner, good for you.

I believe that these polls are an accurate reflection of the public's opinions. The samples chosen seem to be unbiased and reliable. The polls can change campaigns by giving candidates more confidence or putting candidates under pressure to perform better in debates. Polls can also make a candidate change their focus of issues. For instance, polls are showing that a majority of our population is most concerned with our economic problems and that has been reflected in Obama and McCain's speeches and debate performances.

1 comment:

Ron Burgandy? said...

your part about polls being effective i agree on. The whole purpose of a poll is to gain public opinon and it gives a better view of what canidates need to focus on. My polls were about the same and showed Obama in the lead. At the current moment right now i believe Obama is winning the election and polls help me base my judgement. One question i have for you is do you think polls can influence public opinion too making them bais? My point of view is that polls also influence people in a major way.